When Will Elon Musk's Tesla And SpaceX Merge? Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

3/30/2026
Impact: 60
Consumer Cyclical

Elon Musk's SpaceX recently merged with xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion. SpaceX is preparing for an IPO, aiming to raise $75 billion and achieve a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion, with a confidential filing targeting a June listing. There is speculation about a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX, but concerns have been raised regarding stock dilution, with predictions indicating a 20-25% reduction in Tesla's stock value if such a merger occurs. Current betting markets show only a 22% probability of a merger happening before March 1, 2027.

AI summary, not financial advice

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